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September 02, 2008

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Pat

And STILL people want to vote for McCain-Palin. The appeal escapes me. The potential that they would lead the country makes me shudder. Are the American people really so dim?

sanjuro

While I agree with what you say about both McCain and Palin, I must disagree with your criticism of her as a VP choice. I think it's a semi-inspired Hail Mary. And let's face it, McCain needs to take risks. Palin could help him solve his biggest problem: an unenthused conservative republican base. They are unexcited by McCain but they are so close to taking the supreme court that they are looking for an excuse, any excuse, to vote for him. For them, this is great because it puts an experienced die-hard conservative behind a 71 year old president. If McCain dies, they pretty much get Bush back. She has the added credibility of being a reformer who bucked her own party, reinforcing McCain's independent image. Palin might also be attractive to some small portion of idiots who will vote for the ticket simply because there is a woman on it. Never mind that he would never have picked her if Hillary had been chosen for the Dems. And then there is the side benefit of being able to make jokes like "Who do you want to look at for the next four years, Joe Biden or Sarah Palin?". And the whole pregnant daughter thing? Since when have Republicans ever shied away from hypocrisy (Chenney's gay daughter for instance)? I can just see the talking points now: she stands for conservatism, small but honest government, and family values even through the tough times. And she happens to look good doing it!

Some of the reasons we think she is horrible are the very reasons that she could be good for the McCain ticket.

BK

Nice comments, Sanjuro. Here's the thing though, as this piece from the right-leaning Wall Street Journal makes quite well; their base is so narrow that appealing to the base just doesn't cut it anymore (tip of the meaty hoof to astute reader Heinz57 for the WSJ piece):

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122031917132389387.html

McCain Needs to Widen Base
By Gerald F. Seib

The good news for Republicans is that Gov. Sarah Palin seems to be exciting the previously, and famously, unexcited Republican Party base.

The bad news is that an excited base is necessary but insufficient for Republicans to win this year. To prevail, Sen. John McCain has to reach beyond the base vote that was sufficient to win the last two presidential races.

Thus, the fundamental gamble Sen. McCain took in picking Gov. Palin as his running mate is that she can both excite the base and reach well beyond it. If she can't, the gamble won't succeed.

The stakes in ...

[Full article w/WSJ subscription, or email me and I can send you the full text. --BK]

P.S. In other words, "All but their base are belong to us."

sanjuro

On a totally different note, I think Tina Fay would be able to do a killer impersonation of Ms. Palin. Someone aught to suggest it to her.

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